1.Market
Timing: Here
you will find our latest Market Timing
Call, how we arrived at it, and our
previous calls from 1999 to present. As
a subscriber you will receive e-mail
notification, in real-time, of all our
market timing calls, as they are generated
by our timing models.
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MARKET TIMING CALLS
INDEX
Aegean Capital
Group, Inc. is among the top 10 ten Market Timing services as
rated by "Timer
Digest", for more information about Timer Digest and
its ratings please visit http://www.timerdigest.com/
Aegean Capital was the "Featured Advisor" in the July
16th, 2001 edition of the publication. To read the article,
click on the link below.
Timer
Digest "Featured Advisor" article, July 16th,
2001.
Please
click on the appropriate link below for the time period that you
wish to review.
Market
Timing Calls 2001
Market
Timing Calls 2000
Market
Timing Calls 1999
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E-mail
Message Sent: Thursday April 12th,
2001 10:35am PST
4-12-01
In our previous message dated
4-10, we indicated that we were
one day away from a buy signal.
The signal has been confirmed. We
are 50% long the SP500, plan to
increase our long exposure to 100%
by adding 50% NASDAQ later today,
or next week.
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3.Daily
Report:
Here
you will find our daily chart analysis of
12-16 key charts, that we use in our daily
monitoring of market developments in order
to make trading and/or investment
decisions. You will find analysis of the DJIA, the Transportation Index, the CRB,
the DJ World Index, SP500, the utilities
index, the XAU, the U.S. dollar, Oil,
select SPDRs, HLDRs and ETFs, as well as,
our daily quantitative ranking of the
market, based upon the "quantifier
numbers. Finally, you will find 'trading
ideas' for the next day, based upon our
chart analysis. Please note that the
"trading ideas" are based upon our
own risk/reward criteria. They are
the "blueprint" by which our
traders may execute trades in our
own account. We have no idea if
any of these suggestions are
appropriate for other people. They are not
recommendations, and investors must use
their own discretion in determining if any
of these trading suggestions fit their own
criteria.
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Thursday 8-9-01 After the Close
PART I
 
We keep sounding like an old broken
record (does anyone still remember those?) watch the Transportation Index, it could
be forming a "head and shoulders" formation, if that
is the case, then the message of the market is this: there will
no recovery in the second half! The Transportation Index is a
"leading index" with regards to the economy.
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4.Weekly
Report:
Here
you will find our weekly chart analysis of
20-24 key charts, that we use in our daily
monitoring of market developments in order
to make trading and/or investment
decisions. You will find analysis of the
DJIA, the Transportation Index, the CRB,
the DJ World Index, SP500, the utilities
index, the XAU, the U.S. dollar, Oil,
select SPDRs, HLDRs and ETFs, as well as,
our weekly quantitative ranking of the
market, based upon the "quantifier
numbers. Also you will find a wealth of
proprietary indicators and
analysis.Finally, you will find 'trading
ideas' for the following week, based upon
our chart analysis. Please note that the
"trading ideas" are based upon our
own risk/reward criteria. They are
the "blueprint" by which our
traders may execute trades in our
own account. We have no idea if
any of these suggestions are
appropriate for other people. They are not
recommendations, and investors must use
their own discretion in determining if any
of these trading suggestions fit their own
criteria.
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For Week Ending 8-10-01
PART 9
In
this part, we examine trading ideas based upon our conclusion in
parts 7 & 8.
TRADING
IDEAS:
As
we can see from the chart below, the QQQ has been moving
sideways in a downward sloping channel. For those of you who
think it is oversold and thus it "must come back" keep
in mind that bear markets can stay oversold for a long time. The
QQQ (and the NDX itself) stayed oversold from October until
April! The point here is this: we do not believe that there is
much reward taking the risk of trading the market right now on a
large scale. We think cash is a better place to be -and safer-
than trading.
The
same holds true for SPY.
Click here for PART
1
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5.EXTRA:
Here
you will find our additional analysis on
matters that we determine to be of
importance as they occur.
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It's
Capital Spending, Stupid ! |
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If
you recall, in the April newsletter, we devoted
a rather large space dissecting Mr. Jonathan
Joseph's bullish call on the semiconductor
sector. Admittedly, the tone of that piece was
scornful, acidic and acerbic. However, we make
no apologies for it , we opined that the
reasoning behind his conclusion was naive, and
unworthy of his statue, as it turned out we were
right! We categorically forecasted that
"things" in the semiconductor sector
would get a lot worse, before they got any
better some time late in 2002! Arguments such as
"things are so bad, they can't get any
worse" come from analysts who are
intellectually bankrupt, and out of touch with
reality. Furthermore, thru-out the months of May
and June, every "talking head" who
appeared on CNBC recommended semiconductor
stocks, with KLAC and AMD garnering the most
"buy" recommendations! While the
"experts" were busy explaining why the
semiconductor group was such sure bet, another
group of people who are intimately familiar with
the state of affairs of these companies
-insiders- they were selling stock in May like
there was no tomorrow!...
.......................................................................................
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6.All Tutorials
On Technical Analysis:
Here
you will find tutorials providing, not
only explanation of technical analysis,
and description of technical indicators,
but also current real life applicable
examples, and our own experience and
lessons using the same indicators.
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Aegean Research & Analysis, All rights reserved.
INDICATORS I
Page 2, Previous
Page Next
Page
Email your questions to tutorials@aegeancapital.com
Indicators serve three broad functions:
1. Alert.
An indicator can act as an alert to study price action a little more
closely. If momentum is waning, it may be a signal to watch for a break of
support. Or, if there is a large positive divergence building, it may serve
as an alert to watch for a resistance breakout...
........................................................................................
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7.Intra-Day Commentary
: Here you
will find commentary that we send via
e-mail to our subscribers with regards
to intra-day market
developments, when it is warranted
(especially when the market moves opposite
to our early morning prediction )This information is useful
to short-term traders, as well as,
position traders looking to open/close
positions.
PLEASE
NOTE:
We
send out these emails ONLY when market
conditions warrant it, in other words when extraordinary
developments take place, or, the market moves outside
the intra-day support/resistance levels
mentioned in the "Before The Bell"
commentary. If you read those commentaries,
you'll notice that the markets most of the time
trade inside the intra-day
support/resistance levels, thus, there is no
reason to send two intra-day alert, just to repeat what
we said before the opening.
Sent:
Thursday, February 1st, 2001 9:11 AM
2-1-01
9:11am PST
It does not appear that the market will be able to
hold on to the early gains, tight
stops should be maintained.
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8.
E-mail Support: As a subscriber you can
e-mail us -up to twice a month- a question
on a topic of your interest. Providing it
is a topic we cover in our research, we
will reply within 3-5 days.
Attention
*Should
any of the current free services becomes a paid one, you will
need a separate subscription for that service.
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All Rights Reserved, Aegean Research
& Analysis
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